It could've been worse:
They could've tastelessly slapped a metric ton of EL accents, LEDs, and useless slabs of lucite on that bitch, cutting multiple windows in the case just so you can watch the blinkenlights symbolically represent the computing going on. #jaguar
Accordingly, the next in the Cray line will now be called "Cool-Ass Airbrushed Wizard Slaying Dragon, Bro" and will play Blue Oyster Cult songs at startup. #jaguar
Following Moore's law, can you imagine in 50 years when personal computers will have that computing power. At such computing power will all PC's be identical having capped the markets need for computing? What would an individual need with such computing power? #jaguar
On 13 April 2005, Gordon Moore stated in an interview that the law cannot be sustained indefinitely: "It can't continue forever. The nature of exponentials is that you push them out and eventually disaster happens." #jaguar
@Michai: I'd argue closer to 25 years rather than 50.
According to this article ([www.macobserver.com]) the fastest Mac Pro in 2008 was 1/12,142 as fast as RoadRunner.
Given that ratio, it will only take 14 doublings (which is 16,384 times more) to reach this speed for a consumer computer.
Moore's law says we should expect a doubling of transistors on a chip every two years which comes to only 28 years.
Ray Kurzweil argues (convincingly) that the doubles are occurring faster than every two years and in fact are themselves speeding up. So 28 years is probably a very conservative estimate.
@Michai: Since we've made similar statements for decades now while Moore's Law has been working and had all those needs filled and more, I'm believing that you'll need this power for your latest 3 dimensional Hollo-Deck display in the game room of your house by then where a MMG finally exceeds 100 million simultaneous players and even the cockroaches walking under your feet are being modeled and you have infinite zoom to be able to check molecules in objects. Bottom line, whatever computing power is created will cause applications to be written that will enable it's use, and more... #jaguar
@kosai: Thanks for the vid, very cool. I'd like to add that it does not account for the intelligence of software aiding in the conductibility of trillions of computers. #jaguar
@NorwoodIsMyHero: Here is a cool fact that everyone may find interesting. All of todays digital information, if translated into a physical weight, would weight about the same as large grain of salt*. Given that knowledge a atomic matrix the size of a 6 sided die has the potential to hold more than enough information for generations to come.
*(I read this story in either one of my Scientific American or Discover magazines, I spent a few minutes looking for the article but could find which month or magazine it was. Props to the person who locates the original article for me. It was within the last 9 months.) #jaguar
@SkipErnst: Yes true, but Kurzweil doesn't account for - like anything the closer you get to reaching the exponential's vertical the longer it takes. Also a change in transistor tech from silicon to 'whatever' will cause an initial slowing of the curve. #jaguar
Dude, Apple dumped the Jaguar release years ago since it had significant user interface and speed issues - they need to get Snow Leopard on this thing ASAP.I assume they are leasing time on this system for those silly scientists and engineers to use to figure out the answer to life, the universe, and everything. Multiply six and seven, geeks - your search will be over and we can stop building these crazy fast systems. #jaguar
11/16/09
They could've tastelessly slapped a metric ton of EL accents, LEDs, and useless slabs of lucite on that bitch, cutting multiple windows in the case just so you can watch the blinkenlights symbolically represent the computing going on. #jaguar
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Following Moore's law, can you imagine in 50 years when personal computers will have that computing power. At such computing power will all PC's be identical having capped the markets need for computing? What would an individual need with such computing power? #jaguar
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[en.wikipedia.org]
On 13 April 2005, Gordon Moore stated in an interview that the law cannot be sustained indefinitely: "It can't continue forever. The nature of exponentials is that you push them out and eventually disaster happens." #jaguar
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[www.vimeo.com] #jaguar
11/16/09
He did also point out that their are ultimate limits at the atomic level to how small things can get. #jaguar
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According to this article ([www.macobserver.com]) the fastest Mac Pro in 2008 was 1/12,142 as fast as RoadRunner.
Given that ratio, it will only take 14 doublings (which is 16,384 times more) to reach this speed for a consumer computer.
Moore's law says we should expect a doubling of transistors on a chip every two years which comes to only 28 years.
Ray Kurzweil argues (convincingly) that the doubles are occurring faster than every two years and in fact are themselves speeding up. So 28 years is probably a very conservative estimate.
But will it run Crysis? #jaguar
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*(I read this story in either one of my Scientific American or Discover magazines, I spent a few minutes looking for the article but could find which month or magazine it was. Props to the person who locates the original article for me. It was within the last 9 months.) #jaguar
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[en.wikipedia.org] #jaguar