U.S. Space Force “is aware of a debris-generating event in outer space” and is “working to characterize the debris field and will continue to ensure all space-faring nations have the information necessary to maneuver satellites if impacted,” tweeted space reporter Joey Roulette from the New York Times.

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In a tweet, Seradata, a company responsible for maintaining the SpaceTrak launch and satellite database, says Kosmos-1408's orbit was “a bit higher than ISS but not much,” adding that the presumed ASAT strike on the satellite “would cause some debris to be fired below it...threatening ISS with a crossing debris cloud.”

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Data gathered by space debris tracking company LeoLabs shows “at least 30 unique objects detected near expected location” of the Russian satellite. McDowell expects “thousands of pieces of cataloged debris from a satellite the size of Kosmos-1408,” as satellites of this type weigh roughly 3,860 pounds (1,750 kg), as he pointed out in a tweet, adding that “it may take days to weeks for the first debris objects to be cataloged and years from them all to be located.”

Today’s incident comes less than a week after the ISS had to make an emergency maneuver to evade potentially threatening space junk. In that case, it was a remnant of the Fengyun-1C weather satellite, which China deliberately destroyed in 2007 as part of an anti-satellite missile test. India did something similar in 2019, joining the United States, Russia, and China as countries that have tested anti-satellite weapons. Currently, the use of ASATs “occupy a gray zone” when it comes to international arms control, writes Talia M. Blatt from Harvard University.

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This is a developing story and we will update this article as we learn more.