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The video posted by Xinhua claims to show “violent” protests, but the footage is relatively tame, all things considered. An estimated 1.7 million people from Hong Kong took to the streets on Sunday to demand more autonomy from China, and there were no reports of any violence between police and protesters.

Hong Kong was formerly a British colony but was handed off to China in 1997 under a “one country, two systems” policy that allowed Hong Kong to be semi-autonomous and maintain many democratic norms. That system has deteriorated recently following a proposal in June to let China extradite so-called criminals from the region.

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China shows no signs of giving up on its smear campaign against protesters in Hong Kong, and many observers around the world are getting nervous about what Beijing might do next. The Chinese government has amassed troops across the border in Shenzhen in a show of force that Beijing clearly wants on view.

Michael Tien, one member of the Hong Kong Legislative Council who’s traditionally been pro-Beijing, warns that he believes China could institute a major military crackdown in Hong Kong by the first week of September. China’s National Day, which celebrates the founding of the People’s Republic of China, is on October 1, 2019. This year is the 70th anniversary, and Tien believes that the Chinese government will act before then to suppress any demonstrations.

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“Obviously the top leadership would want all the cameras around the world [to] focus on the achievement of China, its military might, the parade, and everything,” Tien told Bloomberg. “And the last thing they want to see is unrest in Hong Kong.”

Tien believes that even if the protests were to be scaled back, China would still invade Hong Kong to make sure there aren’t any distractions from its upcoming National Day.

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“Even a few thousand people peacefully marching in the street is going to cast a very bad impression on the National Day,” Tien told the Bloomberg anchors who seemed a bit shocked. “So what I heard is that there would be a deadline. The deadline should probably be the first week in September.”

“Are you saying they’re sending troops then, if the streets are still filled with protesters?” one Bloomberg reporter asked.

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“Well, this is what I heard,” Tien said.

Things are going to get really bad if the Chinese military invades Hong Kong, so all we can do at this point is hope that it doesn’t come to that. But at least American social media companies are cracking down on the disinformation campaigns currently being waged by the Chinese government.