Don’t Tell Trump, But His Administration Wants to Account for Sea Level Rise

Image: AP
Image: AP

When it comes to climate change adaptation, the Trump administration isn’t even at the table. So when Trump axed Obama-era standards to prevent new construction in flood-prone areas, especially those threatened by sea level rise, in August, it fit his anti-regulation rhetoric perfectly.


But the reality of the situation isn’t so simple, and a new directive from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) still requires that any new structures in a floodplain be built well above projected flood levels. These are “virtually the same requirements as those that Trump revoked last August,” according to Bloomberg.

Released on Tuesday, the 101-page document tells states receiving funds to help recover from last year’s major hurricanes—Harvey, Maria, and Irma—to “take into account continued sea level rise” when making construction and land-use decisions.

Trump’s executive order rescinding the 2015 Federal Flood Risk Management Standard seemed aimed at ignoring sea level rise and climate change impacts. So why is it still in the mandate?

Eli Lehrer, president of the R Street Institute, a libertarian think tank, told Bloomberg he thought it amounted to basic common sense, saying that “building in areas that are almost sure to flood in the near future is really stupid.”

Rob Moore, a senior policy analyst at the Natural Resources Defense Council, praised the decision to the Washington Examiner, saying HUD “is doing the right thing here.”

“It will require projects they fund to be built with this additional margin of safety to help ensure communities are rebuilding smarter and more resilient against future hurricanes and flood events, which is exactly what a responsible agency should be doing,” he said.


The HUD notice directs states on how to spend the $7.4 billion in disaster aid that Congress approved after Hurricane Harvey, most of which went to Texas but some of which went to Florida, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands to help cope with recovery from Hurricanes Irma and Maria.

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This comment is less silliness, but equally as snarky as the other one:

It’s not climate change preparedness, goddamnit. It’s an Ike Dike:

From the actual Ike Dike fact sheet:

6. How long will it take to construct? How much will it cost?

The Ike Dike could be completed within 2 years after construction starts at an estimated cost of between $4B and $6B. In comparison, the Greater New Orleans Surge Barrier took about 2.5 years to construct and cost about $15B.

Here’s how engineering and construction cost estimating works:

  1. Mind’s eye cost estimate: “oh, a couple three billion, maybe, but it will create jobs and assure our energy dominance.”
  2. Consultant’s (or academic’s) conceptual plan and estimated cost: $5 to $50 billion, plus or minus $5 to $50 billion
  3. Oil and gas lobby publicists number that gets bandied about: this is the $4 to $6 billion.”
  4. Pre-feasibility project plan cost initiated by state agent and performed by state’s consultant: $4 to $6 billion exactly, like the oil and gas publicist said. And job creation. And jesus. And Texas football. And guns.
  5. State/authority group issues an RFP for engineering feasibility studies. Cost based on 25 alternatives ranges from $5 billion to $50 billion.
  6. Preferred alternative A cost: $47.2 billion- ish.
  7. Not necessarily preferred alternative, let’s call it alternative K is shown to the public and promoted by political hacks, oil & gas men’s communicators, and the New York Times with cool graphics in augmented related: $5.5 billion
  8. Preferred alternative A is renamed K, state initiated as notice to proceed upon selecting the “right” engineering and construction contractors. Unspoken cost: $47.2 billion.
  9. Trump is president, hurricane Harvey hits and America becomes the Saudi Arabia of Texas. Scope of work vastly increases. State and oil and gas publicist indicated cost goes to $6.2 billion. Cost realy jumps to $67.2 billion.
  10. Construction cost estimates after bidding come in at $6.21 billion with a contingency of $67.2 - $6.21 billion.
  11. Thing gets built
  12. As built cost: $100 billion. This includes the Mexican border wall, too.