An analyst at Merrill Lynch prophesized that by the year 2011, 30% of US households will have a Wii. With census projections for the year 2010 putting the number of US households at 78 million, that equals nearly 23.5 million units sold in the next four years. Holy macaroni.
Is this completely nuts? Well, at first it does sound kind of crazy that the Wii would have that much market penetration, but the SNES sold 20 million units in the US over the course of its lifetime, which wasn't even a majority of the whopping 49 million units sold worldwide. It certainly isn't completely unrealistic to predict the Wii bettering the SNES, especially with all these new markets Nintendo has weaseled its way into.
I, for one, welcome our new motion-sensing overlords.