Shaw Wu Predicts Cheaper iPhones Sometime Later

This image was lost some time after publication, but you can still view it here.
This image was lost some time after publication, but you can still view it here.

Shaw Wu, an analyst from American Technology Research and Apple fortune teller, is predicting cheaper iPhones in the future. Specifically, he knows: "lower cost iPhone prototypes for release at unspecified future dates."


Obviously. This post isn't 'bout that. Let's talk about Shaw.

He has a 4/5 rating from Yahoo! Finance, and Macrumors tracks him at about a 50% hit ratio. He's often right, with great foresight, but this prediction is vague and obvious. Maybe he knows more, and can't say anything. He reminds me of this uncle I had that got rich on the stock market during the bubble, and who would whisper inane secrets in my ear like "Psst, buy Microsoft!" But maybe
he knows more.

So, here's my prediction list of Shaw Wu's 2007 prediction list:
•6th-generation iPods due before end of Q3 2007. Or Q4. 2008. Will be offered in white and black.
•iPhone 2 coming in 2008. Will be sleeker, more nano-like. Will have a 12GB and 16GB model, or at least more storage than the 8GB version. Unless it doesn't.

Just kidding. Come on dude, hit us with some specifics, like when you dropped the MacBook moniker on us out of nowhere. Now, that was awesome.

[UPDATE: Apologies to the very Nice Mr Shaw Wu, who was nice enough to clear things up with his prediction, and we talked about this piece being too personal. I totally agree, in hindsight, and I have made some changes.]

Apple iPhone Variant [Techwhack]




I doubt it's a racist comment. Go ahead, crack open a few fortune cookies and read them.

Now read this:

"Something that you want now will cost less in the future."

He's not a fortune cookie teller because he's Asian, he's a fortune cookie teller because he's useless. What he forgets, of course, is that Apple doesn't lower prices, they add tiers.

The 8GB fullsize iPhone will not get cheaper. The 8GB fullsize G2 iPhone with one more gimmick and an even thinner design will drop to $500, as the new top-tier device takes its place. The 4GB G2 iPhone will drop to $400, and the 2GB iPhone nano will fall into the $300 spot, IF the iPhone exceeds their internal sales targets by at least 20%.

I wouldn't even count on 3G capability until the third iteration of the iPhone, since they have to suss out lighting that great big screen, processing multitouch input, and running up to three radios at once. 3G's great, but it decimates battery life.