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Google and Meta did not immediately respond to Gizmodo’s request for comment.

NetChoice, an industry organization that counts Meta and Google as members, told Gizmodo the California proposal could incentivize large tech companies to abstain from sharing news on their platforms altogether.

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“This is a ‘link tax’ that will actually result in people seeing less news from legacy newspapers,” NetChoice Vice President & General Counsel Carl Szabo told Gizmodo. “If websites are charged every time we share a link, websites just won’t let us share links to stories of interest.”

Big Tech’s ready to fight back against California’s news bill

Both Google and Meta are currently pushing back hard against similar legislation making its way through the legislature in Canada. Last month, Google began temporarily limiting access to news results in tests affecting around 4% of randomly selected users in Canada. Google said those were just some of many tests it conducts regularly but supporters of the Canadian bill viewed the actions as a threat. Meta, on the other hand, was, let’s just say less subtle. Not mincing words, the company threatened to “end the availability of news content on Facebook and Instagram,” if the bill passed as currently written.

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Those aren’t hollow threats either. Meta played a similar game of hardball with Australian lawmakers over their own publisher payment law in. Meta called Australia’s bluff, and briefly cut off news access for an estimated 17 million users. Essential services like hospitals and fire services found themselves caught in the crossfire. The jockeying worked. Meta eased off its news block after several days and agreed to a watered-down version of the bill that, among other carve-outs, let Facebook and Google agree to deals before being forced to enter arbitration with publishers.

Given all that precedent, the Californian bill looks like it’s basically guaranteed to face aggressive lobbying pushback and dramatic threats from the tech industry. One state passing a so-called link tax might now seem like too big a deal, however, that small trickle could inspire a flood of similar actions from other states. That could be a real problem for Big Tech. Still, supporters of the California bill like Wicks said the root of the legislation is really about something far more basic: fairness.

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“What we’re sort of trying to do here really is level the playing field,” Wicks said in an interview with the LA Times “We just want to make sure that work [of publishers] is honored in a way as opposed to being exploited by Facebook or Google or others who repurpose that content without paying for part of it.”