Moore's Law Might Actually Last Another 75 Years

Illustration for article titled Moores Law Might Actually Last Another 75 Years

Moore's Law is mention anytime there's an advancement in processing speeds, and that may keep happening for another 75 years. Physicists are speculating that, assuming Moore was right, we'll max out on processing speed at that point.

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If you're not familiar with Moore's Law, it's the idea that computing speed will double roughly every two years due to factors such as smaller and smaller transistors being used in chips. That's great, but like with nearly anything else, there has to be a limit to the process:

If components are to continue shrinking, physicists must eventually code bits of information onto ever smaller particles. Smaller means faster in the microelectronic world, but physicists Lev Levitin and Tommaso Toffoli at Boston University in Massachusetts, have slapped a speed limit on computing, no matter how small the components get.

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Physicists estimate that we won't reach this limit until the 75 year mark from now. But others have suggested that it's actually far sooner, only 20 years away. Heck, I've heard five years at some point. Whatever the time frame is, I'm curious about is what the actual speed limit will wind up being. (Mind you, I'd love to see it hit during my lifetime, too. Just to know for sure.) [Live Science]

Photo by Intel

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DISCUSSION

walker2151-old
walker2151

Even if it ended in just 20 years, the processors would be 1,048,576 times faster than they are today right? So if it was 75 years that would mean they would be 3.77789319 × 10^22 times faster……WTF